Saturday, February 21, 2009

Will the Housing Rescue Plan Work?

Daily Real Estate News February 20, 2009

Some big guns in the world of economics have doubts.

The plan seeks to stem foreclsoures by helping home owners who are still current on their mortgage but at risk of defaulting. (For more details: Read What's in the Foreclosure Plan)

"It's a positive step in the right direction," says economist Mark Zandi of Moody's Economy.com. "I think it will be much more successful than those that preceded it. I worry that it's not going to be successful fast enough."

Likewise, Dean Baker, a housing specialist with the Center for Economic and Policy Research, said: "I'm not impressed. There are some good things in there. I think giving servicers incentives is a good thing. But it's mostly money for banks, not money for home owners. … The banks still decide who gets into this, and that's been a problem all along."

Patrick Newport, an economist with IHS-Global Insight, is also skeptical. He pointed out that the number of people who are underwater on their mortgages has risen to 15 million, but the Obama initiative aims to help only 7 million to 9 million, "Obama's plan is an ambitious one, more ambitious than analysts had been led to expect," he says. "Whether it will stop the bloodletting, however, time will tell.”

Source: Los Angeles Times, Maura Reynolds (02/19/2009)

Fannie and Freddie Plan Big Fee Increases

Daily Real Estate News February 18, 2009

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are both toughening their credit score and down-payment rules as of April 1. In response, major lenders are already factoring in the higher fees, which reduces the effectiveness of the stimulus efforts.

Under the new guidelines, buyers with down payments of less than 25 percent will be charged a three-quarter point add-on penalty, no matter how high their credit score. Buyers of duplexes, where one unit is owner-occupied and the other is rented, will be charged a 1 percent add-on.

Refinancers who take cash out will be charged as much as three points if they have a low to moderate equity stake.

Freddie spokesman Brad German says the loan categories and credit risk combinations targeted by these fees "default at four to eight times" the rate of other mortgages backed by Freddie. "We have to manage these risks appropriately," he says.

Source: Washington Writers Group, Kenneth R. Harney (02/15/2009)

Fannie and Freddie Plan Big Fee Increases

Daily Real Estate News February 18, 2009

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are both toughening their credit score and down-payment rules as of April 1. In response, major lenders are already factoring in the higher fees, which reduces the effectiveness of the stimulus efforts.

Under the new guidelines, buyers with down payments of less than 25 percent will be charged a three-quarter point add-on penalty, no matter how high their credit score. Buyers of duplexes, where one unit is owner-occupied and the other is rented, will be charged a 1 percent add-on.Refinancers who take cash out will be charged as much as three points if they have a low to moderate equity stake.

Freddie spokesman Brad German says the loan categories and credit risk combinations targeted by these fees "default at four to eight times" the rate of other mortgages backed by Freddie. "We have to manage these risks appropriately," he says.

Source: Washington Writers Group, Kenneth R. Harney (02/15/2009)

5 Tips for Homebuyers Seeking a Mortgage

Daily Real Estate News February 19, 2009

Here’s a warning for potential borrowers: Nervous lenders have tough new rules and are paperwork crazy.

"Borrowers are going to have to prove they are the borrower they say they are," says Keith Gumbinger, vice president of HSH Associates, a mortgage-industry publisher in Pompton Plains, N.J.Gumbinger says homebuyers should consider these things before they apply for a loan.

1. Down payments are critical. Borrowers should expect to put down at least 10 percent for a “conforming loan” – a mortgage that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will purchase.

2. Credit scores count. A 720 on the 850-point FICO rating scale will get a borrower access to the best rates. Rich Bira, branch manager of FCM Direct Lender in Chicago, says: "A score between 720 and 739 gets 0.125 percent added to the rate, a score between 700 and 719 gets 0.375 percent added to the rate, and a score between 680 and 699 gets 0.5 percent added to the rate.”

3. Consider VA and FHA. Borrowers without down payments or with less than stellar credit scores should consider these government-insured loans offered through the Federal Housing Administration of the Veterans Administration.

4. Unearth the records. Before applying, borrowers should organize tax, banking and other records that prove income, savings and debts. They should also expect to be patient about what may seem to be endless requests for information.

5. Get rid of debts. Limiting debts, including what borrowers expect to pay for the mortgage, to less than 43 percent of gross income is important.

Source: Chicago Tribune, Mary Umberger (02/15/09)

30-Year Rates Drop to Near 5%

Daily Real Estate News February 20, 2009

Mortgage rates across the board fell this week, a welcoming sign to potential buyers and home owners looking to refinance.


The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.04 percent this week, a drop from last week's 5.16 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year rate averaged 6.04 percent, Freddie Mac reports.

Freddie Mac reported the following for other rates for the week:

15-year mortgage rates: averaged 4.68 percent, down from last week's 4.81 percent. Last year at this time: 5.64 percent.


5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages: averaged 5.04 percent this week, a drop from last week's 5.23 percent. Last year at this time: 5.37 percent

1-year ARMs: averaged 4.8 percent, down from last week's 4.94 percent. Last year at this time: 4.98 percent

"Mortgage rates followed bond yields lower this week as recent economic reports suggest the economy is still slowing, which reduces the future threat of inflation," says Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac's chief economist.


Source: Freddie Mac (02/19/09)

What's In the Foreclosure Prevention Plan

Daily Real Estate News February 19, 2009

The Obama administration yesterday released its long-awaited plan to stem foreclosures.

It's organized into three categories:
1.) Help for home owners making their payments but at risk of default and foreclosure. Home owners with a Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac loan would be eligible to refinance as long as their mortgage doesn't exceed 105 percent of the home's current market value. Currently owners need to have at least 20 percent equity. Potential impact: 4-5 million households.

2.) Help for home owners already in default and in need of loan modification. For lenders that voluntarily agree to lower a borrower's payment so that it makes up no more than 38 percent of the borrower's income, the government would share the cost of lowering the mortgage burden to 31 percent of income. Incentives to lenders to participate include a $1,000 payment. Borrowers can receive up to $1,000 as an incentive to stay current on their new mortgage. Still in the works is a proposed provision that would allow bankruptcy judges to require loan modification (known as a cramdown) as part of a household's restructuring. That provision requires legislation by Congress. Estimated potential impact: 3-4 million households.

3.) Doubled resources to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. To encourage investors to buy the secondary market companies' mortgage-backed securities, the government explicitly backstops them to up to $400 billion, twice the current amount.

The plan does not provide help to investors or to home owners who are in trouble with a second home, nor does it apply to homeowners whose mortgage is part of a private-label mortgage security that is not backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

"The administration's proposed plan, combined with provisions like the $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit in the just-enacted American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, will help minimize foreclosures, shrink housing inventory, stabilize home values, and move the country closer to an economic recovery," says NAR President Charles McMillan.

Source: REALTOR® Magazine Online

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Real Estate Market Trends in West Chester

According to the latest Zillow Real Estate Market Reports, home values in West Chester decreased -0.4% in the fourth quarter of 2008, compared to the fourth quarter of 2007.

Nationally, home values decreased -11.6% during this same period.

Sunday, February 15, 2009

NAR's Take on the Stimulus Package

Dear Fellow REALTOR®,

Here's our take on the Stimulis Bill and Treasury announcements made this week. We look at the Stimulis package AND the Treasury's package holistically, in compliment with each other - mostly because that's how the Obama team is looking at it.

Your representatives, the NAR Board of Directors, asked us in November to do 4 things (with an unspoken but clearly understood mandate to PRESERVE what we already have).

Here they are:
1) get loan limits raised for high cost areas,
2) make the $7,500 tax credit NOT a loan,
3) try to find ways to push interest rates down (which are higher than they should be due to systemic risk right now) by 200 basis points, and
4) help provide solutions to the foreclosure/short sale problem.

So here's what we have achieved:
1) the loan limits will be raised to $727,000 in high cost areas,
2) the tax credit will be raised to $8,000 with NO payback [a true credit],
3) interest rates have come down 125-150 basis points, and
4) the bill has over $50 billion in it for foreclosure mitigation, with Geitners Treasury plan signaling that the second half of TARP and TALF will be used to mitigate foreclosures through a government guarantee, drive down interest rates by buying another $200-300 billion of mortgage paper from the GSES's thereby freeing them up to do the same with new mortgages, and Fannie has just agreed to lift the cap of 4 investment properties eligible for loans and raise it to 10.

In addition, we preserved what we have — which some tend to forget is always on the table when these negotiations start up again — mortgage interest deductability, real estate tax deductability, and the $250,000/$500,000 cap gains exclusion (an overall package worth more than $100 billion and for some a very attractive funding source for their pet projects). We did make a run at the $15,000 credit — and we would have loved to have gotten that or the Homebuilders $22,000 credit idea as well as their 5 year loss carryback deal, but they were considered too rich for this program. What it did do though is totally take the debate off of whether a tax credit should be reinstated at all (it expired last year) and whether it was a true credit or a repayable loan, and kept the conversation on how much it should be. It also kept the debate off of 'what we are willing to give up to get a $15,000 tax credit' and kept the debate again, on how much it should be. It's pretty hard to complain when they give you what you ask for and you lose something you never had.

While we study the Treasury specifics on their major role in providing the rest of the housing solution — there is much more to come and we are working diligently with the Administration to help 'unclog the pipeline' and get capital flowing into housing again.

Sincerely,
Charles McMillan, CIPS, GRI
2009 NAR President

Friday, February 13, 2009

Stimulus Advances With Tax Credit Changes

Daily Real Estate News February 12, 2009

The $790 billion stimulus package hammered out by House and Senate conferees late yesterday increases the home buyer tax credit to $8,000, from $7,500, and drops the repayment feature for buyers who hold on to their property for at least three years. The NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® has sought removal of the repayment requirement because it discourages buyers from taking advantage of the tax credit. The three-year minimum holding period is a safeguard against speculators' use of the credit. The legislation also extends the effective date of the credit to December 1 from June 30, and extends eligibility to borrowers who buy their home with the help of state or local financial assistance that comes from the proceeds of tax-exempt mortgage revenue bonds. The credit remains open only to first-time buyers (those who haven't owned in at least three years) and some income eligibility restrictions apply, but those are unchanged from the existing program.

Other provisions reportedly in the bill that could help housing markets and communities include:
FHA and conforming loan limits. Specifics have not been released but reports indicate that the 2008 limits have been reinstated for 2009 except in those communities where the 2009 limits are higher. Additional increases in individual communities may also be available at the discretion of the secretary of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.


Foreclosure mitigation and neighborhood stabilization. Funding for states and localities to be used for neighborhood stabilization activities for the redevelopment of abandoned and foreclosed homes are authorized. Some news reports put the funding level at $2 billion.


Rental assistance. Up to $1.5 billion to provide short-term rental assistance and other aid for families during the economic crisis.


Transportation infrastructure. Up to $29 billion for highway construction projects, $8 billion for rail projects, and $5 billion to weatherize low-income homes.
Rural housing development. Increased funding for the Rural Housing Service direct and guaranteed loan programs.


Low-income housing grants. Allow states to trade in a portion of their 2009 low-income housing tax credits for Treasury grants to finance the construction or acquisition and rehabilitation of low-income housing, including those with or without tax credit allocations


Tax-exempt housing bonds. Tax-exempt interest earned on specified state and local bonds issued during 2009 and 2010 will not be subject to the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). In addition, financial institutions will have greater capacity to purchase tax-exempt state and local bonds


Energy efficient housing. Grants for energy retrofits for federally assisted housing (Section 8), funding for energy efficiency and conservation block grants to states, and Increases in the residential tax credit through 2010 for certain energy efficient upgrades.


Source: NAR, AP, Washington Post, New York Times, Bloomberg, and Wall Street Journal.

Friday, February 6, 2009

Mortgage Rates Rise, Despite Fed's Efforts

Daily Real Estate News February 6, 2009

Despite the Federal Reserve's campaign to lower mortgage rates, Freddie Mac reports a jump in the 30-year fixed rate to 5.25 percent in the week ended Feb. 5 from 5.10 percent the prior week. Experts say home-loan interest is on the rise because long-term Treasury bond yields have climbed and because mortgage lenders are upping rates to ease the flood of refinancing applications.

Source: The Los Angeles Times, Tom Petruno (02/06/09)

Senate OKs $15,000 Bonus for Home Buyers

Daily Real Estate News February 5, 2009

Housing could get a big boost from the latest addition to the mammoth stimulus bill working its way through Congress.

Senate legislators unanimously approved a proposal Wednesday that would allow a tax credit for home buyers of 10 percent of the value of new or existing residences, up to a $15,000 limit. Current law provides for a $7,500 tax break but only for first-time homebuyers. "It is time to fix housing first," said Sen. Johnny Isakson, R-G.Isakson's office said the proposal would cost the government an estimated $19 billion. In all, the stimulus is now topping an estimated $920 billion.

In an op-ed that appears in Thursday’s Washington Post, President Barack Obama painted "a dire picture" if Congress "fails to move quickly to pass the stimulus bill."

"This recession might linger for years. Our economy will lose 5 million more jobs. Unemployment will approach double digits. Our nation will sink deeper into a crisis that, at some point, we may not be able to reverse," Obama wrote in the op-ed titled, The Action Americans Need.

Source: The Associated Press, David Espo (02/05/09)

Fannie Loosens Refinancing Rules

Daily Real Estate News February 6, 2009

Fannie Mae plans to eliminate some credit-score requirements, scale back income-documentation standards, and waive the need for appraisals in some cases, starting on April 4.The mortgage finance company believes the changes will allow more home owners to refinance into new home loans at near-record low interest rates. Analysts say the relaxed rules for loans that Fannie Mae owns or guarantees are unlikely to have a significant impact on mortgage-bond investors and mortgage insurers.

Source: The Washington Post, Jody Shenn (02/06/09)

Um, excuse me, but isn't this part of how we got here?